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Home Evidence Sheets

Evidence Sheet: United Parcel Service (UPS)

Moe Alsumidaie by Moe Alsumidaie
September 17, 2026
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This is the standing evidence sheet for United Parcel Service (UPS): the yardsticks BullScope computes from official SEC filings and market prices. It refreshes whenever a new edition of our research is published, and it is impersonal by design, every reader sees the same page. Nothing here is investment advice; it is the evidence, organized.

The price tag: what buyers pay per dollar of profit

Today the market pays about $13.1 for each $1 of United Parcel Service’s annual profit (a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.1). Across its own past decade the typical price tag was 11.8, which puts today at roughly the 69th percentile of the company’s own history.

The tape: what the stock itself has done

  • Last price: $98.77 (end-of-day market data as of the edition date · methodology) · 18% below its 52-week high
  • Past 6 months: +1.0% · past 12 months: +17.6%
  • Day-to-day temperament: jumpy (annualized volatility 30%)

The filed record: straight from the annual reports

Fiscal year Revenue Growth Operating margin EPS
FY2021 $97.3B , 13.2% $14.68
FY2022 $100.3B +3.1% 13.0% $13.2
FY2023 $91.0B -9.3% 10.0% $7.8
FY2024 $91.1B +0.1% 9.3% $6.75
FY2025 $88.7B -2.6% 8.9% $6.56

The road ahead: filed results vs published expectations

FY2023A FY2024A FY2025A FY2026E FY2027E
Net sales ($B) 91.0 91.1 88.7 84.5 to 88.5 83.0 to 92.0
Net sales growth (%) -7.8 +0.1 -2.6 -5.0 to -1.0 -3.0
Operating margin (%) 10.0 9.3 8.9 8.5 to 10.0 8.5 to 10.5
Diluted EPS ($) 7.80 6.75 6.56 5.80 to 7.20 5.40 to 8.00

Columns marked A are actual filed results; E columns are the published consensus ranges the current price is being weighed against.

The four gauges: from the latest edition

Can it keep growing?: 38/100 (higher is better)Can it keep growing?38higher is betterCompetition pressure: 72/100 (higher is worse)Competition pressure72higher is worseLegal & political risk: 58/100 (higher is worse)Legal & political risk58higher is worseCost & margin risk: 65/100 (higher is worse)Cost & margin risk65higher is worse
Hover any bar for the reading. Scored 0–100 in the latest edition; green is favorable on every bar.

BullScope coverage of United Parcel Service

  • UPS: The Margin Story the Filings Tell vs. the One the Market Is Buying

Read the full report on United Parcel Service in the BullScope Terminal → It opens with this company loaded.

Edition date: 2026-08-17. This page updates when a new edition is published. Sources: SEC EDGAR filings, Nasdaq prices; computed by BullScope’s published methodology.

BullScope publishes impersonal research for a general audience. Nothing here is personalized investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. As of publication, neither BullScope nor its operator holds a position in any security, covered or otherwise; we do not trade at all, and we accept no compensation from any company we cover. When a conflict of interest exists, we do not publish: companies that compensate our operator in any capacity, or about which our operator could hold nonpublic information, are barred from coverage automatically, as described in the conflicts policy in our methodology. Figures come from company filings and public data through our published methodology; forecasts are conditional scenarios, not predictions and not promises. Markets carry risk, including loss of principal. Consider your own situation, or consult a licensed adviser, before acting on anything you read.
BullScope TerminalYou just read United Parcel Service’s filed numbers.Every claim above traces to a filing. Run any of 500+ companies through the same math-vs-mood engine. Free tier available.Open the Terminal →
Moe Alsumidaie

Moe Alsumidaie

Moe Alsumidaie, MBA, MSF, is founder and Chief Editor of Vanguard Publications, which publishes Clinical Trial Vanguard, Pharma Vanguard and BullScope, and Head of Research at CliniBiz. He has two decades in clinical trial operations and data science, with earlier roles at Genentech, Abbott Vascular and Stanford University Medical Center, and is a guest lecturer in clinical trial sciences at Rutgers University.

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